Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 38.46 |
| $0.026 |
| $1 |
| Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Jay-Z in jail before April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 36.52 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will the fight end in Round 12?Yes | buy | 50.75 | $0.067 | $3.4 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Fury beat Usyk?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will the fight end in Round 12?Yes | buy | 46.76 | $0.064 | $3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 22.17 | $0.045 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Jay-Z arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Assad public appearance before 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 31.85 | $0.157 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.338 | $2 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.699 | $3 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Brian Thompson Perp arrested on Sunday?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.091 | $3 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Brian Thompson Perp arrested on Saturday?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.360 | $1.78 | Dec 7, 2024 |