Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 21% on 14 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 21 Dec 2024. $51.75K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 5:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 17.5% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zahpot | Yes | 23.53 |
| LuC1K | Yes | 7.14 |
| Royal Sphinx D79E | Yes | 5.88 |
| thgfhjgjh | Yes | 0.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Russian Ruble (RUB) price / exchange rate of one US Dollar (USD) hits ₽110.000 or greater at any time between December 12, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and December 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The primary resolution source for this market will be the mid-market rates on the foreign exchange platform XE: https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1D, specifically the "high" price within the market timeframe. This market will resolve on midmarket prices with a 10-min resolution, however the "high" price for the time period of this market will be sufficient.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russian-ruble-110-to-1-usd-by-december-20
| coaleater | No | 0.08 |
| KatArc | No | 0.04 |
| Rurik5 | Yes | 0.02 |
| Asdik | No | 0.02 |
| Oriel | No | 0.02 |
| Trumputin | No | 0.02 |
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