Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 101.71 | $0.993 | $101 | Aug 4, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 101.37 |
| $0.999 |
| $101.27 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 79.16 | $0.998 | $79 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump before July?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.999 | $101.01 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?No | buy | 101 | $0.998 | $100.8 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.999 | $100.5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet 200-399 times February 20-28?No | buy | 80.16 | $0.998 | $80 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?Yes | buy | 82.08 | $0.999 | $82 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?Yes | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Solana above $240 on February 7?No | buy | 85.29 | $0.999 | $85.2 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 XRP all time high by January 31?No | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 73.07 | $0.999 | $73 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 17-24?No | buy | 67.13 | $0.998 | $67 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 42.71 | $0.995 | $42.5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.999 | $20.85 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Ethena crash in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.997 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Grok have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.998 | $0.03 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.710 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.978 | $0.03 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.967 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will US annual inflation be 2.8% in December?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.850 | $0.03 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US annual inflation be 2.7% in December?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.960 | $0.06 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.970 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.950 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US add more than 300k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.989 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US add between 250k and 300k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US add between 100k and 150k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US add less than 100k jobs in December 2024?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.870 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US unemployment be 4.2% in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.730 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.800 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.530 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.535 | $0.01 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.975 | $0.06 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.973 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.997 | $0.02 | Dec 18, 2024 |