Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 12% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, the highest close was 19% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 8.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 8.5% on 12 Dec 2024. $106.72K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 12 Dec 2024, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 12.0% |
| 12 Dec 2024 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.47K |
| LeHaine | Yes | 1.46K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.09K |
| lilymaksimova | Yes | 270 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 6 and December 13.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-6-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| toshapringle | Yes | 250 |
| alaynacervoni | Yes | 250 |
| andree | Yes | 250 |
| grigorysviat | Yes | 250 |
| demidovadasha | Yes | 250 |
| filkondratenko | Yes | 250 |
