Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 71% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 27 Dec 2024, the highest close was 71% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 33.5% on 11 Dec 2024. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
88 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 12:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 27 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 71.0% |
| 27 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On December 9, 2024, police detained Luigi Mangione in Altoona, Pennsylvania, in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mangione pleads guilty to any charges stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on his first pleas at the arraignment - subsequent pleas will not be considered. If the arraignment has not occurred by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Only guilty pleas to charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. a guilty plea to charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify). The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-mangione-plead-guilty
| TrashHobbit | Yes | 950.27 |
| Letstrythis | Yes | 829.46 |
| oopsyseason | Yes | 521.2 |
| Zeeb | No | 382.21 |
| Pekapoo | Yes | 381.01 |
| poppygione | Yes | 303.87 |
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