Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 11 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 38.5% on 13 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 21% on 15 Dec 2024. $144.76K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2024 | 36.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cactusman77 | Yes | 2.09K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 1.4K |
| GFlash | Yes | 386.05 |
| santeybarbarian | Yes | 294.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is photographed or videotaped between December 9 and December 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances including live broadcasts will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Assad, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/assad-public-appearance-before-2025
New to prediction markets?
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| Mat245 | Yes | 105.26 |
| Ivanona228 | Yes | 57 |
| sanae | Yes | 50 |
| mspro | Yes | 47.62 |
