Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 200 | $0.435 | $87 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.230 |
| $46 |
| May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 531.67 | $0.047 | $25 | May 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.79 | $0.190 | $20.67 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 124.76 | $0.040 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.100 | $71.43 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 201.2 | $0.025 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.21K | $0.038 | $311.28 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.026 | $40 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 30 ET?Yes | buy | 407.96 | $0.049 | $20 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.056 | $20 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?Yes | buy | 433.38 | $0.046 | $20 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET?Yes | buy | 247.51 | $0.081 | $20 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET?Yes | buy | 332 | $0.120 | $40 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 162.73 | $0.031 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | buy | 96.19 | $0.208 | $20 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?Yes | sell | 113.69 | $0.580 | $65.94 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?Yes | buy | 113.7 | $0.528 | $60 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 169.49 | $0.720 | $122.03 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | sell | 59.21 | $0.972 | $57.58 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Astronomer Divorce ParlayYes | buy | 84.41 | $0.237 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 789.47 | $0.038 | $30 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 59.21 | $0.692 | $41 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 50.61 | $0.395 | $20 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.890 | $136.92 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.260 | $40 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.62 | $0.450 | $29.53 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | sell | 131.48 | $0.065 | $8.55 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 186.21 | $0.145 | $27 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?Yes | sell | 2.22K | $0.006 | $14 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 131.48 | $0.038 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 65.63 | $0.320 | $21 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.345 | $172.64 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 186.22 | $0.107 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.040 | $20 | Jun 8, 2025 |