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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Biden seen in public by Friday?No | buy | 84.14 | $0.475 | $40 | May 24, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 170.49 |
| $0.029 |
| $5 |
| May 22, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 22, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 22, 2025 |
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Sam Altman arrested before July?Yes | buy | 514.04 | $0.029 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before July?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will any AI score ≥30% on ARC-AGI-2 by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?Yes | buy | 427.56 | $0.035 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.003 | $15 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?Yes | buy | 108.17 | $0.092 | $10 | Apr 18, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Israel" during victory rally?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 855.1 | $0.012 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 404.37 | $0.025 | $10 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Assad public appearance before 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Syria hold national elections before July?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 697.29 | $0.029 | $20 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Dec 14, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?Yes | buy | 535.18 | $0.019 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Macron out as president of France in 2024?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 315.61 | $0.032 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 480.34 | $0.021 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Netanyahu out in 2024?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 430.59 | $0.023 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Biden resign in 2024?Yes | buy | 434.13 | $0.023 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Crimean bridge hit before 2025?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.073 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Bolsonaro arrested in 2024?Yes | buy | 196.73 | $0.051 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Oasis break up before their tour?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Dec 13, 2024 |
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 31.72 | $0.631 | $20 | Dec 13, 2024 |