Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. $219.33K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 6:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Shawn Corey Carter (a.k.a. "Jay-Z") is arrested between December 8, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. However, official information from the government involved in any action against Jay-Z and information from Jay-Z's legal representatives will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jay-z-arrested-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| wei520 | Yes | 20.49 |
| Jennygoh | No | 5.19 |
| JoePeach1 | No | 5.16 |
| Joey999 | No | 4.16 |
| chenpingan | Yes | 0.14 |
| fdsfgfgfsgs | No | 0.06 |
