Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 9 Dec 2024, the highest close was 40% on 8 Dec 2024 and the lowest 24% on 9 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 24% on 9 Dec 2024. $193.33K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 9 Dec 2024, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 26.5% |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shkl45 | No | 2.57K |
| anon5253235 | No | 2.31K |
| Temp123 | No | 391.35 |
| Fafe | No | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by 11:59 PM ET on December 13, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Actions such as questioning or detention without a formal arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brian-thompson-perp-arrested-by-december-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| crowley666 | No | 135.14 |
| Hark11 | No | 91.29 |
| Swamfa | No | 75 |
| Atram | No | 33.69 |
| Legal-Graphic | No | 25.32 |
| PELUX | Yes | 14.71 |
