Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 13 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 55% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 9 Dec 2024 and the low 12% on 11 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 29% on 10 Dec 2024. $3.02M traded over the market's life.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 13 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 55.0% |
| 13 Dec 2024 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mango0x | Yes | 20.1K |
| lalalalala.eth | Yes | 8.68K |
| BoreasTrade | Yes | 8K |
| CheesePunch | Yes | 6.82K |
| Shlynu | Yes | 5.33K |
| Taylorini | Yes | 3.76K |
| Arrnauti | Yes | 2.78K |
| NSmiley | Yes | 2.68K |
| Elroids | Yes | 2.57K |
| Majorna | Yes | 1.6K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 13 Dec '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 4,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-4000-on-december-13
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