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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.86 | $0.210 | $4.38 | Jun 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 89.29 |
| $0.056 |
| $5 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.550 | $1.03 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Megaquake in 2025?No | buy | 14.6 | $0.530 | $7.74 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.600 | $0.97 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.510 | $1.16 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?Yes | sell | 13.94 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.800 | $1.03 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.954 | $1.01 | Feb 19, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.930 | $1.04 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Ye divorce before April?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.296 | $1.51 | Feb 19, 2025 |
Will Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?Yes | buy | 13.95 | $0.889 | $12.4 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 56.38 | $0.220 | $12.4 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 56.39 | $0.247 | $13.93 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Ye divorce before April?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.196 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will Kanye West release an album before July?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.210 | $0.84 | Feb 14, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by February 14?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.995 | $1.02 | Feb 14, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.962 | $1.01 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.064 | $0.43 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.936 | $1.35 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.640 | $0.92 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
RedNote removed from App Store before July?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
X relaunches Vine before July?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Kanye West release an album before July?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |