Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 19% on 17 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 166 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 58% on 28 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.2% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 27.5% on 2 Feb 2025. $55.13K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 17 Jan 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2025 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 10.14K |
| sercat | Yes | 2.67K |
| 8=====D | Yes | 1.57K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/x-relaunches-vine-before-july
New to prediction markets?
| tapadamorn | Yes | 1.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 458 |
| Zesty-Industry | Yes | 402.29 |
| Cherrry-693 | No | 370.12 |
| GayPride | Yes | 299.99 |
| Hpa8446 | Yes | 251.17 |
| lakesidenorth | Yes | 215.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
