Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 4 Feb 2025 and the low 0.4% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 37% on 7 Feb 2025. $431.88K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 86 points · 4 Feb 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 59.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maktouch | Yes | 1.91K |
| Olipal | Yes | 1.64K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 1K |
| jebotibogmater | Yes | 391.58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal programs managed by the department, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If USAID is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled USAID it will count as a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-end-usaid-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets?
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| Strange-Chopstick | Yes | 133.33 |
| Quantentunnel | Yes | 125 |
| flyveryhigh | Yes | 100 |
| YEWRSVBS | Yes | 60 |
