Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 23% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 23% on 30 Jan 2025. $125.12K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 2 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2025 | 17.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lalaf | Yes | 6.88K |
| NRXO519 | Yes | 2.34K |
| pruthvikhorate | Yes | 1.45K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government ban that prohibits access or use of AI models owned by DeepSeek by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between January 26, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/deepseek-banned-in-us-before-july
| X-O | Yes | 1.4K |
| Fesfouss | Yes | 542.71 |
| SilverWasHere | Yes | 324.4 |
| dispatchio | Yes | 291.78 |
| 854A7843 | Yes | 238.91 |
| UMAisSCAM | Yes | 204 |
| plintus | Yes | 150.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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