Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.003 | $0.93 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 509.99 |
| $0.003 |
| $1.47 |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.991 | $297.32 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 350 | $0.993 | $347.68 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.710 | $213 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.037 | $2.84 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?Yes | sell | 553 | $0.444 | $245.77 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.208 | $291.89 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 1.99K | $0.025 | $50.68 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.951 | $190.2 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | buy | 228.08 | $0.877 | $200 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 675.67 | $0.061 | $41.38 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Joe Biden book deal in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?No | sell | 10 | $0.021 | $0.21 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | sell | 970 | $0.055 | $52.91 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 800 | $0.060 | $48 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No | sell | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.998 | $1.4K | Feb 3, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.170 | $68 | Feb 2, 2025 |
 Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 443.56 | $0.466 | $206.7 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.466 | $233 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.466 | $46.6 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will BSW be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?Down | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.200 | $160 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.450 | $23.85 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday?No | sell | 275 | $0.299 | $82.19 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Ben Wikler be the next DNC chair?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.669 | $92.28 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.910 | $40.95 | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.996 | $1.39K | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | buy | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | Jan 31, 2025 |
 Doug Burgum confirmed as Secretary of the Interior?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | buy | 298.48 | $0.660 | $197 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on April 1?No | buy | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | buy | 176.93 | $0.660 | $116.77 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | buy | 133.68 | $0.650 | $86.89 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 93.81 | $0.350 | $32.83 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?No | buy | 69.58 | $0.510 | $35.49 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 150 | $0.449 | $67.35 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.220 | $88 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?No | buy | 211 | $0.210 | $44.31 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?No | buy | 200.05 | $0.200 | $40.01 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.107 | $64.2 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.105 | $10.5 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.104 | $10.4 | Jan 28, 2025 |