Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 11 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 233 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 19% on 12 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 10.5% on 14 Nov 2024. $79.49K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 11 Nov 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2024 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NRXO519 | Yes | 1.17K |
| Hellohellohellohello | Yes | 428.8 |
| atomato | Yes | 339.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US. Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-legislative-filibuster
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Rural-Buy | Yes | 260 |
| blueb | Yes | 150 |
| skitzor | Yes | 66.67 |
| Coolman | Yes | 42.44 |
| NaynS9 | Yes | 21.98 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 20 |
| Boydosan | Yes | 12.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
