Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 134 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 20 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 26.8% on 23 Jan 2025. $106.01K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 134 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 21.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NRXO519 | Yes | 3.12K |
| Bold Quasar 839B | Yes | 1K |
| Cobalt Horizon ABBA | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a recess appointment to appoint a member of his cabinet by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If all of Trump's Cabinet have been filled this market will resolve to "No". A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-uses-a-recess-appointment-for-cabinet
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 900 |
| dmb98 | Yes | 500 |
| maxheid | Yes | 239.19 |
| jayneyolk | Yes | 166.67 |
| polyy212 | Yes | 100.99 |
| TRUMPBROTHER | Yes | 100 |
| Ceethereal | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
