Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 71.5% on 8 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 22.5% on 13 Dec 2024. $2.43M traded over the market's life.
238 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 9:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 15.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 16.49K |
| RedNeal314 | Yes | 7.02K |
| T4T | Yes | 7.01K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia abandons the Tartus Naval Facility in Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "abandon" is defined as Russia ceasing all military operations and withdrawing all personnel from the facility. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-russia-abandon-syrian-naval-base-before-april-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 4.82K |
| ha4albheg | Yes | 1.44K |
| newbet | Yes | 1.11K |
| langzamoleg | Yes | 911.38 |
| gandalf | Yes | 852.88 |
| 573Primary.Adjunct | Yes | 494.2 |
| msgg | Yes | 461.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
