Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 28%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 14 Apr 2025, the highest close was 87.5% on 3 Apr 2025 and the lowest 22.7% on 13 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 45.6% on 10 Apr 2025. $203.15K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 14 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 71.5% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mapp | No | 24.92K |
| futureborn | Yes | 129.87 |
| Impractical-Ridge | No | 100.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between February 1, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the EU will qualify. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-eu-impose-tariffs-on-the-us-before-may
| No |
| 43.48 |
| a-haa | No | 40.56 |
| Jbs | No | 40 |
| Intrepid-Bronchitis | No | 32.26 |
| sdegtg | No | 30 |
| limitlessinvestor | No | 23.81 |
| nicnic | Yes | 16.13 |
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