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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jul 30, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 75.34 |
| $0.060 |
| $4.52 |
| Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 510.11 | $0.110 | $56.11 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | buy | 119.21 | $0.785 | $93.61 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.936 | $93.61 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 411.68 | $0.240 | $99 | May 30, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?Yes | sell | 118.87 | $0.031 | $3.7 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.050 | $15.5 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?No | sell | 109.87 | $0.880 | $96.69 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?No | buy | 109.88 | $0.877 | $96.41 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?Up | sell | 52.25 | $0.984 | $51.41 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 98.44 | $0.315 | $31 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?Up | buy | 52.25 | $0.550 | $28.74 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Apr 21, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 100 | $0.099 | $9.9 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | sell | 267.84 | $0.301 | $80.64 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 72.94 | $0.735 | $53.61 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?Up | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Up | buy | 98.84 | $0.688 | $68 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 97.69 | $0.584 | $57 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Yes | buy | 75.34 | $0.410 | $30.89 | Apr 10, 2025 |
China bans US films in April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 94.91 | $0.066 | $6.3 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?Yes | sell | 100.49 | $0.994 | $99.89 | Apr 9, 2025 |
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?Yes | buy | 100.49 | $0.714 | $71.78 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | sell | 97.27 | $0.062 | $6.01 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 100.02 | $0.160 | $16 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Yes | sell | 291.58 | $0.710 | $207.02 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 291.59 | $0.750 | $218.69 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.046 | $4.6 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28?Yes | sell | 107.77 | $0.060 | $6.47 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 107.78 | $0.139 | $15 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 20.01 | $0.827 | $16.55 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on March 27?Up | sell | 100 | $0.081 | $8.09 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27?Up | buy | 113.07 | $0.900 | $101.76 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on March 27?Up | buy | 45.01 | $0.840 | $37.81 | Mar 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?Down | buy | 185.76 | $0.959 | $178.14 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on March 26?Up | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.755 | $75.5 | Mar 26, 2025 |