Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 5 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 9 Apr 2025 and the low 21.5% on 6 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 67.5% on 8 Apr 2025. $111.86K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 12:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 5 Apr 2025 – 9 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | 28.0% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Noobtradee | No | 70 |
| moongatandAk | No | 27.78 |
| Seischii | No | 14.71 |
| Kuiersin | No | 2.56 |
| Indigo Pioneer 5DFB | Yes | 1.01 |
| dvLmwmRrlB | No | 0.38 |
| split | Yes | 0.02 |
| Karekken | Yes | 0.02 |
| JDULIA | Yes | 0.02 |
| Coral Scout 36D8 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On April 2, Donald Trump imposed a 54% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which imposes additional tariffs or increases the 54% general tariff on China between April 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-tariffs-on-china-before-may-2025
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