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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 10.46 | $0.378 | $4.55 | +$0.6 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 130.95 |
| $0.153 |
| $20 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 101.04 | $0.198 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.378 | $3.95 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 75.96 | $0.263 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?Yes | buy | 67.29 | $0.297 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 81.38 | $0.184 | $15 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 14-20?No | buy | 149.45 | $0.134 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 199.5 | $0.100 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?Yes | buy | 371.16 | $0.054 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?No | buy | 205.16 | $0.097 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Selena Gomez married in 2025?No | buy | 132.37 | $0.151 | $20 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?Yes | buy | 328.71 | $0.061 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?No | buy | 724.33 | $0.028 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?Yes | buy | 124.04 | $0.121 | $15 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 50% India tariff in effect by August 27?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.112 | $15 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 167.92 | $0.119 | $20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Yes | buy | 154.55 | $0.110 | $17 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?Yes | buy | 362.33 | $0.041 | $15 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?Yes | buy | 146.11 | $0.137 | $20 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?Yes | buy | 134.23 | $0.149 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 71.22 | $0.281 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 84.68 | $0.236 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?Yes | buy | 233.69 | $0.086 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 212.21 | $0.094 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 416.83 | $0.048 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 671.54 | $0.030 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?Yes | buy | 138.11 | $0.145 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?No | buy | 294 | $0.068 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.016 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Trump baby bonus before July?Yes | buy | 67.58 | $0.296 | $20 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?Yes | buy | 489.19 | $0.041 | $20 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 2025 June hottest on record?Yes | buy | 667.4 | $0.030 | $20 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?Yes | buy | 449.39 | $0.033 | $15 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?Yes | buy | 86.67 | $0.150 | $13 | May 16, 2025 |