Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2025 to 1 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 85% on 4 Nov 2025. $258.1K traded over the market's life.
482 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 11:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 18 Oct 2025 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 47.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | Yes | 14.44K |
| Bobbidy | Yes | 413.75 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 390.97 |
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| goodbyemonkey | No | 317.08 |
| Royal Falcon F47B | Yes | 300.44 |
| ToT | Yes | 255.12 |
| Misty Ledger 6650 | Yes | 242.92 |
| Dual-Rust | Yes | 200 |
| Royal Meteor 7E09 | Yes | 189.2 |
| Evilbear | Yes | 181.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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