Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 54% on 1 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 54% on 1 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 31% on 2 Oct 2025. $11.83K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 1 Oct 2025 – 16 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | 54.0% |
| 16 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moongatandAk | Yes | 371.16 |
| lissartter | Yes | 200.03 |
| Qwert88 | Yes | 125 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 86.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/successful-houthi-attack-on-shipping-by-october-15
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 54 |
| Only-Progenitor | Yes | 37.91 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 25 |
| Inguar | Yes | 12.5 |
| Solarboy | Yes | 12.5 |
| crypticcaller | Yes | 10 |
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