Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65.7%. Yes opened at 40% on 26 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 65.7% on 19 Dec 2025 and the low 2.5% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 42.2% on 4 Sep 2025. $117.07K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 239 points, 26 Apr 2025 – 19 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2025 | 40.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 65.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ZoHoOJMskO | No | 1.29K |
| XtDOFaJyQs | No | 1.15K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 811.08 |
Milwaukee County Circuit Judge Hannah Dugan was arrested by the FBI on April 25, 2025, charged with obstruction and concealing an individual for allegedly aiding an undocumented immigrant to evade ICE (see: https://www.axios.com/2025/04/25/fbi-arrests-judge-wisconsin-hannah-dugan-kash-patel). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Judge Hannah Dugan is convicted of any charges related to her alleged actions of obstructing federal agents or concealing an individual from ICE, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Convictions must be for criminal charges. If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case. The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-judge-convicted-for-obstructing-immigration-operation
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 323 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 282 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 166 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 150 |
| Kroll703 | No | 145.98 |
| power1337 | No | 109.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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