Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 9.09K | $0.196 | $1.54K | -$236.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 235.08 | $0.600 | $141.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4K |
| $0.040 |
| $256 |
| +$96 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 355 | $0.717 | $241.4 | -$13.2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 299.96 | $0.400 | $148.48 | +$28.5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.060 | $132.5 | +$72.5 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.120 | $93.75 | +$33.75 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 400 | $0.140 | $70 | +$14 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.019 | $46.58 | +$20.93 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | $0.175 | $21.45 | -$31.05 |
| buy |
| 135.09 |
| $0.740 |
| $100 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Drone" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 32.3 | $0.650 | $20.99 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 15 | $0.630 | $9.45 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Up | buy | 179.49 | $0.279 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.071 | $88.64 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 142.59 | $0.310 | $44.2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.310 | $99.2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 840 | $0.120 | $100.8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 460.64 | $0.586 | $270 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.200 | $800 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.200 | $304 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.190 | $487.57 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.45K | $0.977 | $1.42K | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 306.25 | $0.978 | $299.51 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 299.96 | $0.400 | $119.98 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.175 | $52.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Michigan" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.410 | $6.19 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 27.49 | $0.610 | $16.77 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 94.99 | $0.608 | $57.72 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?No | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?No | buy | 750 | $0.670 | $502.5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.490 | $1.07 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.520 | $80.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 400 | $0.140 | $56 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 306.25 | $0.840 | $257.25 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 137.65 | $0.650 | $89.47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.470 | $117.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?No | buy | 369 | $0.820 | $302.58 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?No | buy | 254.72 | $0.810 | $206.32 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.320 | $128 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.98 | $0.310 | $10.22 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.040 | $160 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.019 | $23.97 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 256.99 | $0.730 | $187.6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 58.59 | $0.730 | $42.75 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?No | buy | 213.6 | $0.660 | $140.98 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.330 | $66 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.230 | $39.79 | Oct 7, 2025 |