Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 316 daily closes on record from 16 Apr 2025 to 28 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 18 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 16.5% on 17 Apr 2025. $2.31M traded over the market's life.
496 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 316 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 49.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 413.44K |
| Warsh-Nightmare | No | 24.89K |
| predictgeek | No | 17.85K |
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-raise-from-tariffs-in-2025
| thedialer | No | 13.1K |
| wenyu888888 | No | 10K |
| Miracle007 | No | 9.47K |
| bibitteee | No | 6.74K |
| moon-k58-lad | No | 6.02K |
| reticence | No | 5.3K |
| Limp-Jar | No | 5.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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