Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 29% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 31.5% on 30 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 8 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.8% on 6 Nov 2025. $752.51K traded over the market's life.
218 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 6:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 8 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 29.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Closed-Stonework | Yes | 7.32K |
| alwaysbethinking | Yes | 6.33K |
| slight- | Yes | 4.68K |
| Holhas | Yes | 4.41K |
| MentaCala | Yes | 4.12K |
| 0xEB8960250E7 | Yes | 3.87K |
| nnnx | Yes | 3.32K |
| Kalhintz | Yes | 2.63K |
| Coryc089 | Yes | 2.33K |
| sabrinacarpenteralt | Yes | 2.23K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-government-shutdown-end-by-763
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