Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 94.5% on 4 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 213 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 94.5% on 4 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 13.5% on 24 Jul 2025. $27.09K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 213 points, 4 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2025 | 94.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vorsh | Yes | 675.16 |
| SANGYO | Yes | 655.03 |
| Unhappy-Vampire | Yes | 577.73 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BTS (방탄소년단) releases any new music track credited to the group between June 3 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The track must be publicly released through major music platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube) and must be announced via official BTS or BigHit Music channels. The release must include new musical content; re-releases, remasters, or compilations of previously released songs do not count unless they contain newly recorded material. Tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than "BTS" as a group will not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be any official BTS streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bts-release-any-tracks-in-2025
| shsyw2 | Yes | 400 |
| bushman | No | 390 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 341 |
| coliniloc | Yes | 305.04 |
| sppfu | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 196 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 170.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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