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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.25 | $0.719 | $80 | Feb 28, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 54.41 |
| $0.974 |
| $53 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.534 | $28.85 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.539 | $14.55 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.606 | $9.7 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.471 | $8.94 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.489 | $13.7 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 98.99 | $0.615 | $60.89 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.710 | $32.65 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.735 | $25.72 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 74.74 | $0.771 | $57.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.767 | $8.43 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.727 | $65.41 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.692 | $53.99 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 39.31 | $0.615 | $24.16 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.202 | $24.03 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 256 | $0.194 | $49.68 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 266 | $0.732 | $194.74 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.199 | $10.53 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Yes | buy | 126 | $0.190 | $23.94 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.190 | $6.27 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?Yes | buy | 203 | $0.190 | $38.57 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 51.94 | $0.304 | $15.79 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | sell | 699.72 | $0.745 | $521.06 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 122 | $0.220 | $26.84 | Jul 5, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.806 | $161.16 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 218 | $0.804 | $175.2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.800 | $12.8 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 249.72 | $0.801 | $200 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 2, 2025 |
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 207 | $0.420 | $86.94 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 188 | $0.410 | $77.08 | Jun 25, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 175.99 | $0.998 | $175.64 | Jun 22, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 175.99 | $0.659 | $115.98 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 170.97 | $0.620 | $106 | Apr 26, 2025 |
New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 219.44 | $0.360 | $79 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 323.51 | $0.409 | $132.3 | Apr 26, 2025 |
New Pope announced by May 9?No | buy | 359 | $0.350 | $125.65 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 323.52 | $0.634 | $205 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?No | sell | 430.79 | $0.930 | $400.63 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?No | buy | 430.8 | $0.943 | $406.1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | sell | 465.01 | $0.873 | $406.1 | Feb 5, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 465.01 | $0.860 | $399.91 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?No | sell | 100 | $0.943 | $94.32 | Nov 28, 2024 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 325.8 | $0.966 | $314.72 | Nov 28, 2024 |