Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43.5%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 43.5% on 5 Jul 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 43.5% on 5 Jul 2025. $1.21M traded over the market's life.
195 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 5 Jul 2025, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 31.5% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| flydartball | No | 15K |
| hsq | No | 11.42K |
| Anchored-Mixer | No | 5.59K |
| Delectable-Brownie | No | 5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Elon Musk will establish a new political party by a specified date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-create-a-new-political-party-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Leeeo228 | No | 3.8K |
| elonlaunchyrpartypls | No | 2.75K |
| 2da6 | No | 2K |
| MADA | No | 1K |
| Kickstand7 | No | 1K |
| skysun1991 | No | 833.33 |
