Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 13% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 15.5% on 23 Apr 2025 and the low 1.5% on 1 May 2025. $130.18K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2025 | 13.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zaddychill | Yes | 1.15K |
| kjdnfhihepirq | Yes | 559.01 |
| Sudden-Chopsticks | Yes | 500 |
| Dudu123 | Yes | 405.68 |
| Letsgetthatdough | Yes | 259 |
| sakurajima | Yes | 214 |
| flush-085 | Yes | 111.59 |
| Clipfish99 | Yes | 100 |
| ve1n | Yes | 100 |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 90.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on whether Trump will lower tariffs on China by a specific future date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-lower-tariffs-on-china-by
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