Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 9 Apr 2025 and the low 0.4% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 10% on 10 Apr 2025. $54.77K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 9 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 500 |
| xddd6 | Yes | 494.15 |
| ineverlose | Yes | 417.08 |
| peterquelle | Yes | 262.95 |
| Saltduck | Yes | 243.75 |
| aloser | Yes | 104.62 |
| Impractical-Ridge | Yes | 100 |
| Hoodieburnholes | Yes | 50 |
| NNikolidakis | No | 23.21 |
| mary1994 | No | 2.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Two popular social media accounts recently released plans the Chinese government is said to be considering in retaliation to Donald Trump's tariffs, which include outright bans of US films. You can read more about that here: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/china-mulling-ban-hollywood-film-releases-trump-tariffs-1236184531/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Chinese government announces or enacts an official ban on all films produced in the United States by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement of a ban will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the ban goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/china-bans-us-films-in-april
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