Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 16 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 13 Feb 2025 and the low 60.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 96% on 5 Feb 2025. $3.61M traded over the market's life.
224 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 6:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 90 points · 16 Nov 2024 – 13 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | 70.5% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 25.22K |
| Navi1Rocket | No | 22.76K |
| NorthKing | No | 16.11K |
| Petrarock | No | 3.48K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| avoslucky | No | 3.33K |
| axiom325 | No | 3.33K |
| bigtex | Yes | 2.91K |
| tachdoc | No | 2.51K |
| RiskyBiscuitz | No | 2.22K |
| justus.bumm | No | 1.81K |
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