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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.260 | $344 | Mar 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.94K |
| $0.257 |
| $500 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?Yes | buy | 335.4 | $0.298 | $100 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.400 | $500 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.45 | $0.580 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 371.11 | $0.269 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.049 | $98.58 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.337 | $336.5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.610 | $610 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 990.38 | $0.505 | $500 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 745.21 | $0.671 | $500 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.670 | $1.01K | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.416 | $415.88 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5.67K | $0.334 | $1.89K | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.460 | $460 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.374 | $1K | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 5.56K | $0.288 | $1.6K | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.300 | $500 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.296 | $500 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.227 | $500 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.420 | $210 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?Yes | sell | 219.77 | $0.798 | $175.33 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 814.9 | $0.590 | $480.79 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.501 | $1K | May 5, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.610 | $469.23 | May 1, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.985 | $492.49 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | sell | 1.76K | $0.334 | $588.05 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.200 | $290 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?Yes | sell | 515.28 | $0.580 | $298.86 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.284 | $500 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.999 | $499.5 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 814.91 | $0.307 | $250 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.390 | $300 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | sell | 2K | $0.247 | $493.97 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.470 | $235 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.01 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 10-20% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130.1 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.530 | $530 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.740 | $200 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Yes | buy | 808.16 | $0.247 | $200 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.504 | $302.28 | Feb 28, 2025 |