Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 11 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 209 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2025 to 7 Sep 2025, the highest close was 77.8% on 26 Jul 2025 and the lowest 13% on 12 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 73.5% on 7 Sep 2025. $289.3K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 8, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 11 Feb 2025 – 7 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2025 | 33.5% |
| 7 Sep 2025 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 7.19K |
| ImKitaNow | No | 4.83K |
| zlcll | No | 1.37K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Shigeru Ishiba ceases to be the Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between February 9 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Shigeru Ishiba's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japan-prime-minister-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| user-213094o | No | 907.92 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 553 |
| iSway | No | 163.89 |
| oaftobar | No | 161.77 |
| acfa | No | 100 |
| 8676768kjk | No | 100 |
| Finalyty | No | 59.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
