Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Adams drop out?No | buy | 10.14K | $0.346 | $3.51K | Sep 4, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 402.94 |
| $0.254 |
| $102.2 |
| Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 858.81 | $0.120 | $103.27 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 375.24 | $0.450 | $168.86 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 287.45 | $0.439 | $126.17 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?No | buy | 226.55 | $0.844 | $191.32 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 285.4 | $0.008 | $2.28 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.007 | $70 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.008 | $32 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.190 | $570 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 175 | $0.420 | $73.5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.390 | $771.42 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.170 | $850 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?No | buy | 753.24 | $0.423 | $318.85 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.64K | $0.068 | $180.52 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 830.58 | $0.369 | $306.69 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.230 | $1.15K | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 118.17 | $0.600 | $70.9 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.99K | $0.603 | $3.01K | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.18K | $0.620 | $1.35K | Aug 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.51 | $0.449 | $36.13 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.313 | $530.09 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.015 | $31.03 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.65K | $0.007 | $179.55 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.65K | $0.008 | $205.2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.459 | $2.87K | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | sell | 17.95K | $0.530 | $9.52K | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?No | buy | 20K | $0.430 | $8.6K | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 15.99K | $0.009 | $140.01 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | buy | 46 | $0.135 | $6.2 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | buy | 2K | $0.110 | $219.95 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.106 | $158.15 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.196 | $474.91 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 6.84K | $0.243 | $1.66K | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will DIY win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.006 | $1.56 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 143.82 | $0.940 | $135.19 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 0.8 | $0.900 | $0.72 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | sell | 146.24 | $0.850 | $124.3 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.730 | $765 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | sell | 954.54 | $0.754 | $719.26 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 954.54 | $0.339 | $323.54 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?Yes | sell | 519.69 | $0.999 | $519.17 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 217.92 | $0.135 | $29.42 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 302 | $0.138 | $41.68 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | sell | 32 | $0.140 | $4.48 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 902.87 | $0.054 | $48.55 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Yes | sell | 2.08K | $0.227 | $472.41 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will DPP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.004 | $5.41 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will DIY win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 279.28 | $0.005 | $1.51 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?No | buy | 3.68K | $0.144 | $529.68 | Jul 3, 2025 |