Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 21 Sep 2025, the highest close was 89% on 21 Sep 2025 and the lowest 61.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 75.5% on 6 Sep 2025. $108.12K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 21 Sep 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2025 | 67.5% |
| 21 Sep 2025 | 89.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LambertGolden | No | 428.88 |
| vovovovo | No | 425.53 |
| ImKitaNow | No | 402.94 |
| Notable-Median | No | 350 |
| Cold070 | No | 266.67 |
| Lilpump | No | 249.16 |
