Latest trade
Feb 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
NicholasGrote is down $2.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 48 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:04 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jul 30, 2024 UTC to Feb 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.840 | $1.99 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-18 02:28 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 15:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 15:04 UTC
polymarket positions
50 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-18 02:28 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.25 and losing ones cost $9.39 across 48 settled positions. 56.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.78 on “2024 August hottest on record?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1 on “Biden wins the Popular Vote?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Feb 2025. It has traded 49 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.57 |
| $0.840 |
| $1.32 |
| Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pain"?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.890 | $2.36 | Feb 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.950 | $1.27 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.710 | $1.05 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.870 | $1.41 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.909 | $1.41 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.930 | $1.45 | Dec 17, 2024 UTC |
 John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.950 | $1.21 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.800 | $1.57 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.830 | $1.26 | Nov 29, 2024 UTC |
 Vikings vs. TitansVikings | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| Packers vs. BearsPackers | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| Rams vs. PatriotsRams | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.028 | $0.42 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?Yes | buy | 53.83 | $0.005 | $0.28 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.67 | $0.003 | $0.17 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.046 | $0.24 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump election interference trial start in August?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.004 | $0.26 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.046 | $0.27 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.020 | $0.22 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.02K | $0.001 | $10.02 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.3K | $0.001 | $2.3 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.02K | $0.001 | $10.02 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.3K | $0.001 | $12.3 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.590 | $1.12 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Joe Biden reinstated as Dem Nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.010 | $0.36 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.67 | $0.015 | $0.34 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.003 | $0.24 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.780 | $1.11 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.004 | $0.41 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 65.51 | $0.004 | $0.24 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.010 | $0.33 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.070 | $0.42 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.550 | $0.81 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will Rashida Tlaib win the MI-12 Democratic House Primary?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.987 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
 USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | Aug 7, 2024 UTC |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
| Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
| Will Rashida Tlaib win the MI-12 Democratic House Primary?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
| Will Ethan Katzberg win Gold in Hammer Throw?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
 Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on August 2?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.