Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.9%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 20 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 96.9% on 21 Jan 2025 and the low 52.5% on 20 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 81% on 21 Nov 2024. $40.86K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 4:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 63 points · 20 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2024 | 52.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 96.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimothyDexter | No | 1.88K |
| KarlPolymarket | Yes | 60.98 |
| nysha.eth | No | 8.03 |
| CryptoE | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Trump Cabinet nomination is confirmed by the U.S. Senate by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cabinet-confirmation-on-jan-20
New to prediction markets?
| iamthebeast | Yes | 0.06 |
| yetti-045 | Yes | 0.06 |
| 0xture | No | 0.05 |
| dvddd | No | 0.05 |
| 0xgoo | Yes | 0.02 |
| 88club | Yes | 0.02 |
