Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 38% on 16 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 199 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 56% on 16 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 56% on 16 Mar 2024. $26.79K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 9:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 199 points, 16 Feb 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2024 | 38.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 55.22K |
| ibb4lomy48n5 | No | 0.07 |
| asi-356 | No | 0.03 |
Trump's election interference trial was initially set to begin on March 4, but the judge postponed it with no new date set due to Trump's immunity appeals. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new start date for the trial for the election interference case against Trump (United States of America v. Donald J. Trump) is set between August 1 and August 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If the judge sets a trial date outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next trial date set by the judge in this case. If the trial date is moved, it will have no effect on the outcome of this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-election-interference-trial-date
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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