Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 5 Nov 2024 and the low 73% on 2 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 97.7% on 7 Sep 2024. $1.51M traded over the market's life.
324 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 84.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 254.88K |
| JoggingJoe | No | 862.07 |
| ER03PT | No | 815.48 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "The State of New York vs. Donald Trump". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentence is rendered in this case by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-sentenced-to-how-much-prison-time
| No |
| 783.93 |
| -J- | No | 719.43 |
| ppsp | No | 263.16 |
| kjjyy | No | 185.19 |
| Agni1999 | Yes | 131.91 |
| rgrthjytyulo | No | 125 |
| aldonesec | No | 108.65 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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