
Resolved No on 18 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 2.1% on 26 Jul 2024 and the low 0.1% on 14 Sep 2024. $17.63M traded over the market's life.
200 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 18 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2024 | 2.1% |
| 18 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.03M |
| h123as1 | Yes | 284.96K |
| Tiger666 | Yes | 248.14K |
| shenyumen | Yes | 200K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's September 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased by 25 or more basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 17 - 18, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024
| Arctic0013 | Yes | 100K |
| monodactyl | Yes | 100K |
| sht | Yes | 99.98K |
| polystaff | Yes | 99.93K |
| doodooarmy | Yes | 98.59K |
| Superb-Raven | Yes | 88.03K |
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