Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.630 | $1.45 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.982 |
| $1 |
| Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.950 | $1.22 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 iPhone SE 4 under $500?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.870 | $1.16 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.985 | $1.27 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.949 | $1.37 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Timberwolves vs. PelicansTimberwolves | buy | 1.23 | $0.970 | $1.19 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 0.55 | $0.999 | $0.55 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in 2024?No | buy | 0.55 | $0.974 | $0.54 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Schoof resign as Netherlands PM in 2024?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.940 | $0.22 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Nancy Mace's trans bathroom bill pass in 2024?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.968 | $0.34 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 0.8 | $0.880 | $0.7 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Rams vs. PatriotsRams | buy | 0.82 | $0.680 | $0.56 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 0.93 | $0.900 | $0.84 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.930 | $0.39 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 1 Vance vs. Walz debate before election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?No | buy | 0.48 | $0.770 | $0.37 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.950 | $0.22 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.860 | $0.18 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 $EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.806 | $0.17 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will 'Transformers One' gross less than $35m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.995 | $0.36 | Sep 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 0.49 | $0.870 | $0.43 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 Will CeeDee Lamb be traded?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.068 | $0.1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.982 | $0.14 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.900 | $0.36 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 0.16 | $0.880 | $0.14 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Kamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?Kamala | buy | 0.66 | $0.960 | $0.63 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?Yes | buy | 0.48 | $0.900 | $0.43 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.090 | $0.62 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.010 | $0.24 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.200 | $0.27 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.850 | $1.74 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.080 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 17.64K | $0.001 | $17.64 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Delaware Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.954 | $1.4 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.800 | $0.84 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.994 | $1.15 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.850 | $1.07 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.940 | $1.14 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Todd Fine win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Couch" before August?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Kamala announces VP pick in July?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |