Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 5 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6.5% on 5 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2024. $3.27M traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 5 Nov 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CHICI | Yes | 102.08K |
| DarkSpace | Yes | 11.67K |
| Reconquista | Yes | 10.06K |
| dsesuq | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Joe Biden announces has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Joe Biden to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g. due to his removal from office by other means, etc), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Biden announce that he has or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-resign-in-2024
| Pinechas11 | Yes | 4.51K |
| iva | Yes | 3.96K |
| 5476 | Yes | 1.25K |
| wssfej | Yes | 1K |
| vmbkqz | Yes | 1K |
| Quiet Raven F03A | Yes | 999.99 |
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