
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 144 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 9 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2025. $23.42K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moongatandAk | Yes | 1.27K |
| MYM4 | Yes | 1.23K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that Apple has implemented a backdoor allowing it or a third party to access user data in iCloud. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of this market, a "backdoor" is defined as an intentional mechanism that bypasses encryption or other security measures, granting access to user data without the account holder's consent. Vulnerabilities, exploits, or misconfigurations that are not deliberately placed by Apple will not qualify unless credible reporting confirms they were knowingly introduced as a covert access method. Confirmation from Apple or the government of a G7 country will qualify as "definitive evidence". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, or statements from Apple, or the government of a G7 country.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-create-a-backdoor-for-user-data-in-icloud
| Yes |
| 174.24 |
| rdunjgiofnuei | Yes | 100 |
| Hoyden808 | Yes | 50 |
| DK080 | Yes | 37.04 |
| metalogica | Yes | 33.33 |
| poonggyungnam | Yes | 20 |
| tixon | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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