Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 26 Jan 2024. Before it settled, the high was 18.5% on 31 Jan 2024 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. $690.27K traded over the market's life.
556 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 342 points, 26 Jan 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2024 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial COVID-19 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/covid-lab-leak-confirmed-by-us-in-2024
| yesss | Yes | 1.33K |
| defibricks | Yes | 1.25K |
| picass0 | Yes | 1.11K |
| alcp1234 | Yes | 1K |
| Imaginary-Streetcar | Yes | 625 |
| naybu | Yes | 428.71 |
| MKMKMK | Yes | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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