Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 90.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 93.5% on 9 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 27.5% on 18 Feb 2025. $304.67K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 5:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 90.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fond-Stitch | Yes | 698.61 |
| bitcoinn | Yes | 300 |
| doggiedoggie | Yes | 280 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 222.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the base price of the iPhone SE 4, as announced by Apple, is under $500 USD. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the price of iPhone SE 4 is not announced by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Apple's first announcement of the price.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/iphone-se-4-under-500
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| todaysunny | Yes | 199.98 |
| Shabby-Laboratory | No | 12.5 |
| Remarkable-Workbench | Yes | 9.51 |
| aaronn-336 | Yes | 5.26 |
| dewdsefsvx | Yes | 4.24 |
| GailEmmaa | Yes | 3.44 |
