Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 4 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 188 daily closes on record from 4 May 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 49.3% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 49.3% on 6 Nov 2024. $49.91K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 4 May 2024 – 7 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2024 | 5.5% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Remote-Bloodflow | Yes | 1.62K |
| erttrwwtrtw | Yes | 1.35K |
| copy4259 | No | 199.56 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Fine wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-todd-fine-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election
| Conscious-Volatility | Yes | 194.37 |
| Chinchillinn69 | No | 10 |
| crispNimbus4 | No | 0.08 |
| hLJbCTtflE | No | 0.07 |
| gnydrl47le1m | No | 0.04 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.02 |
| Evoli | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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